Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -600 LT +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +5 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -13.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -12.2 (-7.2) | 141.8 (+33.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -10.4 (-5.4) | 141.8 (+33.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -12.0 (-7.0) | 143.0 (+32.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -12.1 (-7.1) | 142.9 (+32.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | FAU 76 – 72 LT |
| Feb 4, 2022 | FAU 83 – 73 LT |
| Mar 12, 2021 | LT 75 – 69 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 7-13 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 11-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#33) | 1.7 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#9) | 0.07 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#22) | 0.03 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#17) | 0.506 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.