Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LT -300 FAU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LT -7.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -6.0 (-0.0) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -3.9 (+2.1) | 136.0 (+8.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -6.4 (-0.4) | 136.7 (+7.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -6.4 (-0.4) | 133.9 (+10.1) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | FAU 76 – 72 LT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | FAU 90 – 85 LT |
| Feb 4, 2022 | FAU 83 – 73 LT |
Game Analysis
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