Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | FAU +120 LT -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LT -1.4 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -0.3 (+10.3) | 144.9 (+11.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -0.1 (+10.1) | 142.1 (+13.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -0.1 (+9.9) | 144.6 (+11.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -0.7 (+10.7) | 143.4 (+12.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | FAU 76 – 72 LT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | FAU 90 – 85 LT |
| Mar 12, 2021 | LT 75 – 69 FAU |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.