Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -1200 WCU +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +34 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -13.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -13.0 (+21.0) | 156.4 (-4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -14.0 (+20.0) | 154.6 (-2.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -13.5 (+20.5) | 153.3 (-1.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.7 (+21.3) | 155.0 (-3.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WCU 86 – 67 FUR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WCU 80 – 77 FUR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FUR 84 – 75 WCU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | FUR 90 – 61 WCU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | FUR 79 – 76 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#88) | -4.1 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#103) | -0.75 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#106) | -0.95 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#109) | 0.466 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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