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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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79–40 on winners spread MAE 8.8 119 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Chicago State @ Ohio	+12.7	141.4	85%	59–76	✓
Colgate @ Loyola Maryland	-6.4	140.0	25%	101–67	✓
American University @ Lafayette	-0.1	124.6	40%	60–47	✓
Marist @ Fairfield	+4.1	129.2	67%	54–73	✓
SE Louisiana @ Vanderbilt	+10.5	142.0	82%	55–93	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M	+14.0	141.7	88%	66–86	✓
Eastern Michigan @ South Carolina	+7.2	142.2	78%	64–74	✓
North Alabama @ Jacksonville State	+3.5	144.6	66%	66–62	✗
Western Michigan @ Wisconsin	+20.2	131.0	90%	66–76	✓
LSU New Orleans @ Houston Christian	+1.1	149.4	57%	96–101	✓
Coppin State @ Rutgers	+23.2	148.4	90%	57–90	✓
North Dakota State @ North Dakota	+0.4	141.6	49%	71–49	✗
USC @ Washington	+1.2	143.3	54%	80–67	✗
UCLA @ Washington State	-5.7	131.4	25%	67–66	✓
UConn @ Xavier	-2.2	149.9	50%	73–83	✗
Virginia @ Georgia Tech	-5.2	129.1	30%	74–56	✓
Texas Tech @ TCU	+3.8	141.9	70%	61–67	✓
Louisville @ Kentucky	+20.8	142.3	90%	63–86	✓
Virginia Tech @ Wake Forest	-1.0	142.6	58%	75–77	✗
New Hampshire @ UAlbany	+0.6	135.7	48%	67–51	✗
Yale @ Columbia	-12.6	131.9	16%	60–62	✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara	+2.2	128.2	56%	55–67	✓
St. John's @ Seton Hall	+4.0	143.4	74%	66–88	✓
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy	+6.6	145.1	74%	84–81	✗
Charleston @ Towson	-1.3	140.6	40%	76–74	✓
Stony Brook @ Northeastern	+6.1	133.2	71%	65–61	✗
Florida State @ Duke	+15.6	141.4	89%	67–86	✓
Binghamton @ Bryant	+11.5	149.9	85%	78–82	✓
Harvard @ Princeton	+6.8	133.6	77%	66–69	✓
Saint Louis @ Saint Joseph's	-2.9	148.9	37%	83–78	✓
Rhode Island @ Duquesne	+6.3	138.0	76%	61–72	✓
Samford @ The Citadel	-2.7	140.0	36%	75–63	✓
East Tennessee State @ VMI	+1.2	138.4	46%	64–50	✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Central Connecticut	+2.4	131.3	61%	52–74	✓
Merrimack @ Wagner	+10.2	119.0	66%	58–48	✗
Sacred Heart @ Long Island University	-4.8	150.3	24%	82–64	✓
Green Bay @ Oakland	+10.9	145.4	86%	65–81	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hofstra	+11.0	150.3	81%	81–79	✗
Jacksonville @ Florida Gulf Coast	+6.3	131.2	76%	65–72	✓
UCF @ Houston	+14.7	125.8	86%	65–71	✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas	+8.6	140.7	83%	67–69	✓
Arizona @ Arizona State	-2.6	155.7	30%	69–60	✓
Texas @ Oklahoma	-1.3	136.8	45%	70–69	✓
Baylor @ Iowa State	+3.0	129.0	59%	62–77	✓
Boston College @ Syracuse	+7.6	138.6	77%	65–79	✓
UIC @ Bradley	+14.0	131.3	87%	45–79	✓
UMass Lowell @ NJIT	-9.0	139.9	23%	67–64	✓
Louisiana Tech @ Charlotte	+7.2	134.9	77%	66–68	✓
Marquette @ Villanova	+0.3	147.1	46%	68–66	✗
Richmond @ George Mason	+3.1	136.3	69%	58–62	✓
Massachusetts @ St. Bonaventure	+2.4	134.1	58%	64–83	✓
La Salle @ VCU	+11.7	138.4	88%	67–80	✓
Dayton @ Davidson	-0.8	130.0	46%	69–55	✓
Nevada @ Air Force	-2.0	134.1	42%	75–69	✓
Fresno State @ Utah State	+12.0	137.0	85%	54–67	✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington	-0.7	137.8	38%	66–62	✓
UNC Asheville @ Winthrop	+1.1	148.6	67%	60–62	✓
Presbyterian @ Radford	+8.0	131.4	83%	51–69	✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point	+1.4	140.9	52%	80–73	✗
Longwood @ Campbell	-3.2	136.7	36%	67–42	✓
Chattanooga @ Mercer	-0.1	144.9	53%	80–51	✓
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford	+2.2	130.4	61%	73–64	✗
Louisiana @ Old Dominion	+1.6	142.3	59%	66–70	✓
James Madison @ Marshall	+1.8	156.9	65%	72–66	✗
South Alabama @ Georgia State	-0.8	132.0	55%	58–68	✗
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina	+2.8	132.3	62%	73–64	✗
Western Illinois @ South Dakota	-0.4	145.5	48%	63–80	✗
Kansas City @ Omaha	-0.0	135.4	44%	75–59	✓
Northern Kentucky @ IU Indianapolis	-8.3	125.8	16%	55–42	✓
Elon @ Delaware	+9.5	141.7	82%	52–57	✓
William & Mary @ Drexel	+10.7	130.5	82%	56–66	✓
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington	+16.7	145.0	89%	65–82	✓
Central Arkansas @ Kennesaw State	+10.4	146.3	87%	66–82	✓
Austin Peay @ North Florida	+2.5	142.5	67%	85–90	✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State	+4.5	151.5	59%	76–71	✗
Rider @ Canisius	+0.9	145.8	52%	66–64	✗
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State	+0.9	131.7	54%	66–60	✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Southern Utah	+11.8	158.8	89%	88–94	✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Charleston Southern	+3.4	144.2	66%	85–90	✓
UL Monroe @ Arkansas State	+6.3	129.6	67%	84–72	✗
App State @ Southern Miss	+10.9	138.8	86%	70–76	✓
St. Thomas @ South Dakota State	+3.1	140.4	68%	64–71	✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver	-8.1	155.4	21%	80–62	✓
Cleveland State @ Robert Morris	-0.1	132.3	46%	63–54	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Northwestern State	+2.9	145.1	59%	65–59	✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State	-1.7	145.8	45%	73–82	✗
East Carolina @ Wichita State	+6.0	133.6	64%	79–69	✗
Florida International @ North Texas	+18.0	127.3	89%	57–72	✓
Utah @ Stanford	+0.4	134.9	55%	71–66	✗
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee	+7.8	141.1	80%	60–65	✓
UTSA @ UAB	+21.2	156.0	91%	67–90	✓
Rice @ UTEP	+1.7	148.0	52%	72–67	✗
George Washington @ Loyola Chicago	+5.4	142.6	70%	97–87	✗
San José State @ Colorado State	+4.9	134.1	65%	78–70	✗
Tarleton State @ Abilene Christian	+1.3	138.7	59%	63–69	✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley	+7.1	146.5	76%	60–71	✓
Furman @ Western Carolina	-7.7	146.3	31%	67–79	✗
Stonehill @ Saint Francis	-0.7	149.9	49%	72–73	✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield	-8.6	128.9	18%	79–75	✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State	+7.6	137.5	82%	60–76	✓
Idaho @ Montana	+6.1	140.8	77%	56–67	✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State	+5.5	140.9	72%	70–67	✗
Queens University @ Eastern Kentucky	-2.5	145.1	47%	83–88	✗
New Mexico @ Wyoming	-5.5	147.6	28%	76–75	✓
San Diego State @ UNLV	+1.3	142.3	58%	76–67	✗
Morehead State @ UT Martin	+2.7	145.8	58%	57–64	✓
Southern Indiana @ Eastern Illinois	-4.7	146.1	33%	80–91	✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee State	+3.0	154.3	68%	69–94	✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood	+2.7	140.0	57%	64–82	✓
Pepperdine @ Gonzaga	+16.6	160.3	89%	88–111	✓
McNeese @ Lamar	+1.5	136.6	45%	81–62	✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pacific	-4.5	147.7	32%	72–78	✗
Troy @ Texas State	-3.5	132.1	32%	55–52	✓
Portland State @ Sacramento State	+2.7	147.8	65%	63–74	✓
Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M	+8.7	134.1	80%	74–82	✓
Colorado @ California	-11.0	134.8	21%	76–80	✗
Sam Houston @ New Mexico State	-1.6	132.9	41%	75–62	✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U	+6.3	137.7	76%	65–71	✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State	+1.8	151.1	52%	73–72	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.