Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | UALB -120 UNH +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +16 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | UALB -3.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -1.5 (-17.5) | 136.0 (-18.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -0.6 (-16.6) | 135.7 (-17.7) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -2.1 (-18.1) | 136.0 (-18.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -1.7 (-17.7) | 135.8 (-17.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UALB 84 – 61 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2026 | UNH 80 – 72 UALB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNH 71 – 60 UALB |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UALB 61 – 57 UNH |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UALB 91 – 67 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 5-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#326) | -7.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#290) | -1.97 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#292) | -2.62 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#259) | 0.411 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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