Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | LIU +240 SHU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +18 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -5.2 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -4.9 (-13.1) | 146.6 (-0.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -4.8 (-13.2) | 150.3 (-4.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -6.7 (-11.3) | 150.2 (-4.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -5.7 (-12.3) | 148.3 (-2.3) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIU 75 – 58 SHU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHU 89 – 55 LIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIU 74 – 70 SHU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | LIU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | LIU 79 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 2-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-14 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -19.3 (#362) | -9.5 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.48 (#358) | -1.92 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.81 (#359) | -2.66 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#326) | 0.386 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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