Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | LIU -190 SHU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -8.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -6.6 (-2.6) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -6.6 (-2.6) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -5.6 (-1.6) | 150.9 (+3.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -6.9 (-2.9) | 154.1 (-0.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIU 75 – 58 SHU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHU 89 – 55 LIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIU 74 – 70 SHU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHU 82 – 64 LIU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | LIU 82 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#256) | -10.3 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#296) | -2.24 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#280) | -2.76 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#254) | 0.392 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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