Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | LIU +240 SHU -305 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +17 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -4.6 (+21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -3.0 (+20.0) | 145.8 (-12.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -4.0 (+21.0) | 146.7 (-13.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -4.6 (+21.6) | 148.0 (-15.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.3 (+20.3) | 148.4 (-15.4) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHU 89 – 55 LIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIU 74 – 70 SHU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHU 82 – 64 LIU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | LIU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | LIU 79 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 10-6 |
| Home | 5-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-17 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -15.3 (#355) | -7.3 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#340) | -1.52 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#342) | -1.94 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#342) | 0.426 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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