Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -8.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -8.9 (-1.9) | 155.9 (+1.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -7.0 (+0.0) | 154.8 (+2.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -7.9 (-0.9) | 154.7 (+2.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -8.3 (-1.3) | 157.5 (-0.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIU 75 – 58 SHU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHU 89 – 55 LIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIU 74 – 70 SHU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHU 82 – 64 LIU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | LIU 79 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#243) | -10.1 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#252) | -2.20 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#240) | -2.59 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#178) | 0.407 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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