In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Northeast Conference · William H. Pitt Center · January 13, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SHU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 150.0 Under
Money SHU -350 / LIU +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHU win
Actual SHU +34 144 Won
Massey SHU -9.7 (+24.3)
Massey Totals 145.8 (-1.8)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 70%
Efficiency Plus ML SHU -7.0 (+27.0) 145.1 (-1.1) 82%
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -6.5 (+27.5) 143.3 (+0.7) 76%
Baseline ML SHU -6.1 (+27.9) 143.0 (+1.0) 76%
Baseline Plus ML SHU -6.7 (+27.3) 146.2 (-2.2) 79%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2024 LIU 7558 SHU
Jan 27, 2023 LIU 7470 SHU
Dec 31, 2022 SHU 8264 LIU
Mar 3, 2022 LIU 8275 SHU
Feb 4, 2022 LIU 7975 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHU LIU
Overall 16-16 7-22
Conference 10-6 6-10
Home 11-5 5-4
Away 4-11 1-17
Neutral 1-0 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 72.8 66.5
Avg Pts Against 73.3 76.8
Massey -7.8 (#297) -13.5 (#344)
Bradley-Terry -1.75 (#320) -1.67 (#316)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.21 (#317) -2.24 (#319)
RPI 0.403 (#326) 0.403 (#325)
Shooting & Four Factors SHU LIU
FG% 43.0% 40.0%
3PT% 30.9% 28.2%
REB / G 31.5 33.0
OREB / G 8.5 7.9
AST / TO 0.88 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 44.8%
TOV% 17.6% 20.5%
ORB% 24.4% 21.4%
FT Rate 21.8% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 21.4% 16.3%
DRB% 66.2% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.3% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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