Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | SHU -350 LIU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +34 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -9.7 (+24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -6.5 (+27.5) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -7.0 (+27.0) | 145.1 (-1.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -6.7 (+27.3) | 146.2 (-2.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -6.1 (+27.9) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIU 75 – 58 SHU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | LIU 74 – 70 SHU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHU 82 – 64 LIU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | LIU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | LIU 79 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#297) | -13.5 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#320) | -1.67 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#317) | -2.24 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#326) | 0.403 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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