And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Northeast Conference · William H. Pitt Center · January 27, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SHU -12.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money SHU -800 / LIU +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHU win
Actual LIU +4 144 Lost
Massey SHU -16.4 (-20.4) — —
Massey Totals — 149.6 (-5.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -11.8 (-15.8) 146.4 (-2.4) 87% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHU -10.6 (-14.6) 148.3 (-4.3) 80% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SHU -12.6 (-16.6) 147.6 (-3.6) 84% ✗
Baseline ML SHU -12.9 (-16.9) 147.3 (-3.3) 83% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2024 LIU 75 – 58 SHU
Jan 13, 2024 SHU 89 – 55 LIU
Dec 31, 2022 SHU 82 – 64 LIU
Mar 3, 2022 LIU 82 – 75 SHU
Feb 4, 2022 LIU 79 – 75 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHU LIU
Overall 16-17 3-26
Conference 8-8 1-15
Home 9-6 2-10
Away 7-11 1-14
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L8
Avg Pts For 69.8 64.0
Avg Pts Against 71.6 81.9
Massey -8.9 (#320) -21.8 (#363)
Bradley-Terry -1.26 (#291) -4.99 (#363)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.73 (#296) -6.55 (#363)
RPI 0.439 (#288) 0.351 (#361)
Shooting & Four Factors SHU LIU
FG% 42.2% 40.4%
3PT% 30.0% 30.9%
REB / G 36.1 32.0
OREB / G 10.6 8.9
AST / TO 1.01 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 44.6%
TOV% 18.8% 22.2%
ORB% 28.1% 24.0%
FT Rate 17.7% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 56.3%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 16.9%
DRB% 70.5% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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