Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -800 LIU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -16.4 (-20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -10.6 (-14.6) | 148.3 (-4.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -11.8 (-15.8) | 146.4 (-2.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -12.9 (-16.9) | 147.3 (-3.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -12.6 (-16.6) | 147.6 (-3.6) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | LIU 75 – 58 SHU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SHU 89 – 55 LIU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHU 82 – 64 LIU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | LIU 82 – 75 SHU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | LIU 79 – 75 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 1-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-10 |
| Away | 7-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#320) | -21.8 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#291) | -4.99 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#296) | -6.55 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#288) | 0.351 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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