Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -150 KC +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -4.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -2.2 (-18.2) | 136.6 (-2.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -0.0 (-16.0) | 135.4 (-1.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -2.7 (-18.7) | 137.0 (-3.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -2.2 (-18.2) | 137.7 (-3.7) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-8 |
| Away | 1-15 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#272) | -4.7 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#225) | -0.85 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#220) | -1.20 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#197) | 0.476 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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