Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | DEN +500 ORU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -8.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -9.4 (-8.6) | 156.1 (-14.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -8.1 (-9.9) | 155.4 (-13.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -7.7 (-10.3) | 159.2 (-17.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -8.8 (-9.2) | 158.2 (-16.2) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 18-0 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#238) | 9.8 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#203) | 1.82 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#233) | 2.43 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#273) | 0.601 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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