You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Western Athletic Conference · Redhawk Center · December 31, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -4.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money SEA -163 / CBU +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual SEA +6 136 Won
Massey SEA -7.7 (-1.7) — —
Massey Totals — 133.9 (+2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 89% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SEA -5.9 (+0.1) 138.7 (-2.7) 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -6.3 (-0.3) 137.7 (-1.7) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -5.3 (+0.7) 138.1 (-2.1) 72% ✓
Baseline ML SEA -5.6 (+0.4) 139.0 (-3.0) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 72 – 48 CBU
Jan 5, 2025 CBU 61 – 59 SEA
Mar 15, 2024 SEA 81 – 57 CBU
Feb 4, 2024 SEA 61 – 60 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 48 – 46 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA CBU
Overall 20-12 17-16
Conference 11-7 8-10
Home 12-2 13-5
Away 7-7 4-8
Neutral 1-3 1-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.3 66.8
Avg Pts Against 70.0 65.9
Massey 2.1 (#133) -0.9 (#187)
Bradley-Terry 0.93 (#99) -0.29 (#204)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.96 (#106) -0.20 (#185)
RPI 0.546 (#94) 0.459 (#251)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA CBU
FG% 39.7% 40.6%
3PT% 31.1% 31.4%
REB / G 39.0 38.5
OREB / G 13.5 11.7
AST / TO 1.01 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 47.2%
TOV% 17.6% 18.8%
ORB% 34.1% 31.2%
FT Rate 23.1% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 16.7%
DRB% 74.5% 76.1%
Opp FT Rate 29.0% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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