This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · January 5, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money CBU -185 / SEA +155
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +2 120 Won
Massey CBU -3.1 (-1.1)
Massey Totals 148.8 (-28.8)
Bradley-Terry 78%
Weighted B-T 74%
Baseline ML CBU -2.1 (-0.1) 147.0 (-27.0) 65%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -1.9 (+0.1) 147.0 (-27.0) 66%
Efficiency Plus ML CBU -1.3 (+0.7) 143.2 (-23.2) 60%
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -2.7 (-0.7) 146.4 (-26.4) 64%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 7248 CBU
Mar 15, 2024 SEA 8157 CBU
Feb 4, 2024 SEA 6160 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 4846 CBU
Feb 16, 2023 CBU 8463 SEA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SEA
Overall 17-15 14-18
Conference 9-7 8-8
Home 11-5 9-5
Away 4-8 4-11
Neutral 2-2 1-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 68.8
Avg Pts Against 70.0 67.6
Massey -0.3 (#164) 0.8 (#148)
Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#168) -0.48 (#211)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.03 (#165) -0.19 (#183)
RPI 0.505 (#158) 0.501 (#169)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SEA
FG% 43.2% 41.1%
3PT% 30.7% 34.9%
REB / G 36.5 33.8
OREB / G 12.9 10.6
AST / TO 1.14 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 48.0%
TOV% 15.6% 18.4%
ORB% 34.3% 30.2%
FT Rate 22.3% 35.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 56.9%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 17.7%
DRB% 71.5% 76.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 24.5%

Game Analysis

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