That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money CBU -150 / SEA +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +21 147 Won
Massey CBU -1.4 (+19.6)
Massey Totals 130.2 (+16.8)
Bradley-Terry 38%
Weighted B-T 46%
Baseline ML CBU -0.3 (+20.7) 135.3 (+11.7) 45%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -0.7 (+20.3) 136.6 (+10.4) 44%
Efficiency Plus ML SEA -0.1 (+21.1) 135.4 (+11.6) 45%
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -0.6 (+20.4) 134.0 (+13.0) 51%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 7248 CBU
Jan 5, 2025 CBU 6159 SEA
Mar 15, 2024 SEA 8157 CBU
Feb 4, 2024 SEA 6160 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 4846 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SEA
Overall 17-16 20-12
Conference 8-10 11-7
Home 13-5 12-2
Away 4-8 7-7
Neutral 1-3 1-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.8 70.3
Avg Pts Against 65.9 70.0
Massey 0.0 (#170) 2.3 (#129)
Bradley-Terry -0.22 (#196) 0.90 (#100)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.07 (#175) 0.83 (#110)
RPI 0.459 (#262) 0.547 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SEA
FG% 42.4% 40.0%
3PT% 32.2% 31.2%
REB / G 36.4 37.2
OREB / G 10.6 11.4
AST / TO 1.08 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 47.2%
TOV% 18.0% 17.0%
ORB% 29.7% 30.1%
FT Rate 19.9% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 18.0%
DRB% 73.9% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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