Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -225 LT +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -11.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -9.9 (-7.9) | 138.0 (-4.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -7.2 (-5.2) | 134.9 (-0.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -9.3 (-7.3) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -9.3 (-7.3) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2023 | CLT 74 – 67 LT |
| Feb 11, 2022 | LT 82 – 77 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | LT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#73) | 0.6 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#60) | -0.55 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#78) | -0.50 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#66) | 0.457 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | LT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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