Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | LT -111 CLT -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LT -2.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -0.5 (-7.5) | 130.8 (+10.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -1.4 (-8.4) | 128.1 (+12.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -1.6 (-8.6) | 130.6 (+10.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LT -0.6 (-7.6) | 131.9 (+9.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2022 | CLT 68 – 66 LT |
| Feb 11, 2022 | LT 82 – 77 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#134) | 3.4 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#162) | 0.49 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#169) | 0.64 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#158) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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