Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -250 TTU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -2.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.3 (+0.7) | 145.6 (-17.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -3.8 (+2.2) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -3.6 (+2.4) | 143.9 (-15.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.6 (+2.4) | 143.4 (-15.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | TCU 73 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | TCU 69 – 66 TTU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TTU 71 – 57 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TTU 82 – 81 TCU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | TCU 85 – 78 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#42) | 12.3 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#31) | 0.91 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#10) | 1.04 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#134) | 0.505 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 51.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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