Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +130 RID -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -1.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -0.3 (-2.3) | 145.3 (-15.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -0.9 (-2.9) | 145.8 (-15.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -0.5 (-2.5) | 145.7 (-15.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -0.2 (-2.2) | 146.5 (-16.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#262) | -1.8 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#321) | -0.71 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#300) | -0.71 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#290) | 0.453 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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