Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | RID -750 CAN +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +28 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | RID -9.6 (+18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -7.4 (+20.6) | 139.2 (-11.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -8.6 (+19.4) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -8.7 (+19.3) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -8.3 (+19.7) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2023 | CAN 81 – 78 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 5-7 | 1-12 |
| Away | 8-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#316) | -15.7 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#281) | -2.82 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#296) | -3.24 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#291) | 0.412 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 25.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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