Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +100 RID -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +4 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -1.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -0.9 (-4.9) | 141.8 (-15.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -1.1 (-5.1) | 141.8 (-15.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -1.0 (-5.0) | 143.9 (-17.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.2 (-3.8) | 143.8 (-17.8) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2023 | CAN 81 – 78 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#257) | -3.4 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#263) | -0.79 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#264) | -0.96 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#207) | 0.482 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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