Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | RID -120 CAN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +6 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -1.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.7 (-6.7) | 128.7 (+9.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -0.3 (-5.7) | 129.9 (+8.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -0.2 (-5.8) | 129.4 (+8.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.0 (-6.0) | 129.1 (+8.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2023 | CAN 81 – 78 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 5-15 |
| Home | 4-9 | 7-8 |
| Away | 0-16 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -16.3 (#354) | -14.7 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#358) | -2.09 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.08 (#359) | -2.62 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#341) | 0.420 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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