Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | RID -110 CAN -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -4.9 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -4.5 (+7.5) | 148.7 (+6.3) | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -2.9 (+5.9) | 147.7 (+7.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -5.3 (+8.3) | 146.2 (+8.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -4.4 (+7.4) | 147.8 (+7.2) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2023 | CAN 81 – 78 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#288) | 2.0 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#326) | 0.10 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#322) | 0.25 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#299) | 0.526 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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