Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | RID -250 CAN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +3 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -9.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -7.6 (-10.6) | 141.4 (+17.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -9.5 (-12.5) | 141.7 (+17.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -8.6 (-11.6) | 141.6 (+17.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -8.6 (-11.6) | 142.1 (+16.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#178) | -6.2 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#172) | -1.70 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#176) | -1.87 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#143) | 0.437 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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