Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -333 W&M +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -10.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -6.7 (+3.3) | 131.4 (-9.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -6.7 (+3.3) | 130.7 (-8.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -10.7 (-0.7) | 130.5 (-8.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -6.5 (+3.5) | 130.5 (-8.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | DREX 64 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 15, 2025 | W&M 72 – 59 DREX |
| Feb 7, 2025 | DREX 86 – 66 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2024 | DREX 77 – 55 W&M |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DREX 72 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#179) | -5.7 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#243) | -1.00 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#236) | -1.64 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#279) | 0.467 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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