Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +300 DREX -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +22 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -7.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -8.1 (-13.9) | 141.2 (-9.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -9.2 (-12.8) | 140.7 (-8.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -8.3 (-13.7) | 142.4 (-10.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -7.2 (-14.8) | 141.8 (-9.8) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | DREX 64 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 15, 2025 | W&M 72 – 59 DREX |
| Feb 7, 2025 | DREX 86 – 66 W&M |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DREX 66 – 56 W&M |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DREX 72 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#302) | 3.7 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#313) | 0.34 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#314) | 0.26 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.383 (#346) | 0.511 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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