We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
William & Mary Tribe
55 77
FINAL Conference
Drexel Dragons
Coastal Athletic Association · Kaplan Arena · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread DREX -6.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money W&M +300 / DREX -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total W&M win
Actual DREX +22 132 Lost
Massey DREX -7.5 (-14.5)
Massey Totals 141.5 (-9.5)
Bradley-Terry 22%
Weighted B-T 17%
Baseline Plus ML DREX -8.3 (-13.7) 142.4 (-10.4) 24%
Model 4 ML DREX -9.2 (-12.8) 140.7 (-8.7) 22%
Model 3 ML DREX -8.1 (-13.9) 141.2 (-9.2) 24%
Baseline ML DREX -7.2 (-14.8) 141.8 (-9.8) 25%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 DREX 6458 W&M
Feb 15, 2025 W&M 7259 DREX
Feb 7, 2025 DREX 8666 W&M
Dec 31, 2022 DREX 6656 W&M
Feb 18, 2022 DREX 7257 W&M

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings W&M DREX
Overall 10-23 20-12
Conference 4-14 13-5
Home 7-7 13-1
Away 2-13 6-10
Neutral 1-3 1-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 71.9
Avg Pts Against 74.2 67.1
Massey -8.1 (#302) 3.7 (#113)
Bradley-Terry -1.77 (#313) 0.34 (#142)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.30 (#314) 0.26 (#157)
RPI 0.383 (#346) 0.511 (#153)
Shooting & Four Factors W&M DREX
FG% 44.6% 43.9%
3PT% 33.9% 30.5%
REB / G 32.7 40.2
OREB / G 8.4 12.4
AST / TO 1.07 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 48.8%
TOV% 17.0% 18.4%
ORB% 25.1% 35.3%
FT Rate 28.4% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.5% 45.0%
Opp TOV% 14.0% 14.7%
DRB% 72.4% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 26.3% 19.8%

Game Analysis

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