Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -135 DREX +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -1.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -1.1 (+11.9) | 146.4 (-15.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | DREX -0.3 (+13.3) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | W&M -1.9 (+11.1) | 145.8 (-14.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -0.9 (+12.1) | 145.8 (-14.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | DREX 64 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 7, 2025 | DREX 86 – 66 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2024 | DREX 77 – 55 W&M |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DREX 66 – 56 W&M |
| Feb 18, 2022 | DREX 72 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#226) | -1.9 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#185) | -0.60 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#183) | -0.68 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.469 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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