Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WASH +120 USC -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +13 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -3.1 (-16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -1.6 (-14.6) | 141.4 (+5.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -1.2 (-14.2) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -1.7 (-14.7) | 142.8 (+4.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.2 (-14.2) | 142.9 (+4.1) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH 83 – 79 USC |
| Mar 5, 2026 | WASH 91 – 72 USC |
| Dec 6, 2025 | WASH 84 – 76 USC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USC 92 – 61 WASH |
| Dec 7, 2024 | USC 85 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#105) | 5.6 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#97) | 1.76 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#94) | 2.07 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#83) | 0.572 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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