Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -190 USC +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +24 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -8.2 (-32.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -4.8 (-28.8) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -6.4 (-30.4) | 135.3 (+10.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -4.6 (-28.6) | 135.7 (+10.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -5.2 (-29.2) | 135.7 (+10.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH 83 – 79 USC |
| Mar 5, 2026 | WASH 91 – 72 USC |
| Dec 6, 2025 | WASH 84 – 76 USC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USC 92 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | USC 80 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-9 | 12-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#110) | 0.1 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#62) | 0.26 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#74) | 0.62 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#43) | 0.504 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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