Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | USC -218 WASH +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -9.9 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -6.7 (-14.7) | 156.3 (+3.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -7.8 (-15.8) | 152.1 (+7.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USC -7.5 (-15.5) | 153.5 (+6.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -7.4 (-15.4) | 156.0 (+4.0) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH 83 – 79 USC |
| Mar 5, 2026 | WASH 91 – 72 USC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USC 92 – 61 WASH |
| Dec 7, 2024 | USC 85 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | USC 80 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#40) | 7.3 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.09 (#7) | 1.19 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.80 (#9) | 2.12 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.714 (#3) | 0.558 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 36.7% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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