Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -225 USC +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +19 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -5.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -5.0 (+14.0) | 148.8 (+14.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -5.0 (+14.0) | 148.8 (+14.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -4.8 (+14.2) | 145.9 (+17.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -4.7 (+14.3) | 146.9 (+16.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH 83 – 79 USC |
| Dec 6, 2025 | WASH 84 – 76 USC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USC 92 – 61 WASH |
| Dec 7, 2024 | USC 85 – 61 WASH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | USC 80 – 74 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#51) | 8.8 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#78) | 1.94 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#68) | 2.31 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#122) | 0.565 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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