Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -225 HARV +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -9.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -5.6 (-2.6) | 134.1 (+0.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -6.8 (-3.8) | 133.6 (+1.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.8 (-3.8) | 135.6 (-0.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.9 (-3.9) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | HARV 58 – 56 PRIN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | HARV 87 – 80 PRIN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PRIN 76 – 71 HARV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | PRIN 68 – 64 HARV |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PRIN 66 – 53 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#89) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#155) | 0.52 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#134) | 0.12 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#174) | 0.532 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 24.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 79.7% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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