Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ILST +100 UNI +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +6 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -3.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -1.7 (-7.7) | 132.6 (-6.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -0.9 (-6.9) | 131.7 (-5.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -2.0 (-8.0) | 135.1 (-9.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -1.0 (-7.0) | 135.3 (-9.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 74 – 52 ILST |
| Feb 26, 2026 | ILST 71 – 69 UNI |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ILST 59 – 54 UNI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNI 68 – 65 ILST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UNI 85 – 84 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#253) | -2.7 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#224) | -1.52 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#243) | -1.18 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#238) | 0.419 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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