Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | ILST +110 UNI -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +22 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -0.4 (-21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -0.2 (-22.2) | 126.9 (-0.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -0.6 (-21.4) | 126.1 (-0.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -0.7 (-21.3) | 127.9 (-1.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -0.6 (-22.6) | 128.0 (-2.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ILST 71 – 69 UNI |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ILST 59 – 54 UNI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNI 68 – 65 ILST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UNI 85 – 84 ILST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | ILST 81 – 73 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#89) | 7.2 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#113) | 0.49 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#119) | 0.70 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#97) | 0.543 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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