Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -278 UNI +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +5 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -7.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -6.6 (-1.6) | 129.9 (-16.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -5.3 (-0.3) | 128.9 (-15.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -6.1 (-1.1) | 127.5 (-14.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -6.1 (-1.1) | 128.2 (-15.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 74 – 52 ILST |
| Feb 26, 2026 | ILST 71 – 69 UNI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNI 68 – 65 ILST |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UNI 85 – 84 ILST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | ILST 81 – 73 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#71) | 5.0 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#119) | 0.39 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#120) | 0.42 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#121) | 0.534 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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