Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -125 UNI +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +1 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | ILST -0.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -2.2 (-3.2) | 139.7 (+29.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -0.8 (-1.8) | 137.4 (+31.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -1.6 (-2.6) | 141.0 (+28.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -1.1 (-2.1) | 141.3 (+27.7) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNI 74 – 52 ILST |
| Feb 26, 2026 | ILST 71 – 69 UNI |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ILST 59 – 54 UNI |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNI 68 – 65 ILST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | ILST 81 – 73 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#130) | 4.9 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#145) | 0.36 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#149) | 0.65 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#147) | 0.519 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.