Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | ASU +188 ARIZ -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -4.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.3 (-6.7) | 155.7 (-26.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -2.6 (-6.4) | 155.7 (-26.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -2.1 (-6.9) | 155.9 (-26.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.5 (-6.5) | 155.0 (-26.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#62) | 17.5 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#34) | 3.17 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#40) | 3.75 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#36) | 0.639 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 53.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 60.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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