Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | ASU +550 ARIZ -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +18 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -16.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.5 (-5.5) | 160.0 (-8.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -11.7 (-6.3) | 159.3 (-7.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.2 (-4.8) | 161.2 (-9.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -13.8 (-4.2) | 160.3 (-8.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 60 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 87.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#120) | 23.0 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#107) | 2.56 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#108) | 3.46 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#98) | 0.631 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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