Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Desert Financial Arena · February 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -11.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money ASU +550 / ARIZ -1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total ASU win
Actual ARIZ +18 152 Lost
Massey ARIZ -16.2 (-1.8)
Massey Totals 156.7 (-4.7)
Bradley-Terry 26%
Weighted B-T 16%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -11.7 (-6.3) 161.1 (-9.1) 15%
Model 4 ML ARIZ -10.5 (-7.5) 159.3 (-7.3) 16%
Model 3 ML ARIZ -10.6 (-7.4) 160.0 (-8.0) 18%
Baseline ML ARIZ -12.5 (-5.5) 160.2 (-8.2) 15%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 ARIZ 8774 ASU
Jan 15, 2026 ARIZ 8982 ASU
Mar 5, 2025 ARIZ 113100 ASU
Feb 1, 2025 ARIZ 8172 ASU
Feb 18, 2024 ARIZ 10560 ASU

Game Analysis

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