Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +250 ARIZ -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +9 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ARIZ -6.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -3.1 (-5.9) | 146.7 (+6.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -3.2 (-5.8) | 147.9 (+5.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -4.9 (-4.1) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.5 (-5.5) | 146.5 (+6.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 60 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#59) | 19.6 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#49) | 2.57 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#52) | 3.39 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#35) | 0.608 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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