Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -5000 ASU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +13 | 213 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -13.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+59.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -12.1 (+0.9) | 154.1 (+58.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -13.2 (-0.2) | 155.2 (+57.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.3 (-0.3) | 157.5 (+55.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -12.2 (+0.8) | 156.1 (+56.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 60 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#10) | 8.9 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#32) | 1.30 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.37 (#27) | 1.69 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#43) | 0.547 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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