In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · February 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ARIZ -18.5 Home covered
O/U 157.5 Over
Money ARIZ -5000 / ASU +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARIZ win
Actual ARIZ +45 165 Won
Massey ARIZ -22.9 (+22.1)
Massey Totals 156.1 (+8.9)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML ARIZ -22.1 (+22.9) 158.0 (+7.0) 90%
Model 4 ML ARIZ -17.4 (+27.6) 155.9 (+9.1) 90%
Model 3 ML ARIZ -19.6 (+25.4) 155.7 (+9.3) 90%
Baseline ML ARIZ -18.9 (+26.1) 155.5 (+9.5) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 ARIZ 8774 ASU
Jan 15, 2026 ARIZ 8982 ASU
Mar 5, 2025 ARIZ 113100 ASU
Feb 1, 2025 ARIZ 8172 ASU
Feb 29, 2024 ARIZ 8567 ASU

Game Analysis

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