Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -5000 ASU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +45 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -22.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -18.0 (+27.0) | 155.7 (+9.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -16.8 (+28.2) | 155.9 (+9.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -20.1 (+24.9) | 158.0 (+7.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -18.0 (+27.0) | 155.5 (+9.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 82 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.1 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 22.9 (#2) | 3.4 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#6) | 0.89 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#5) | 1.00 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#3) | 0.541 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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