Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -4000 ASU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -22.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -18.3 (-11.3) | 158.5 (+12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -17.3 (-10.3) | 160.2 (+10.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -21.7 (-14.7) | 160.6 (+10.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -20.3 (-13.3) | 158.2 (+12.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | ARIZ 87 – 74 ASU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | ARIZ 113 – 100 ASU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARIZ 81 – 72 ASU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ARIZ 85 – 67 ASU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 60 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 25.5 (#2) | 6.2 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.13 (#1) | 1.75 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.71 (#1) | 2.22 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.670 (#9) | 0.568 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 41.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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