Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -250 JAX +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -9.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -6.9 (+0.1) | 129.4 (+7.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -6.3 (+0.7) | 131.2 (+5.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -6.7 (+0.3) | 131.9 (+5.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -7.0 (-0.0) | 132.8 (+4.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | FGCU 86 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FGCU 68 – 49 JAX |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FGCU 72 – 56 JAX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 79 JAX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FGCU 59 – 57 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 64.7 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#96) | -0.2 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#41) | 1.10 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#43) | 1.46 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#41) | 0.566 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.