Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -138 MORE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +7 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -7.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -3.7 (+3.3) | 146.2 (-25.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -2.7 (+4.3) | 145.8 (-24.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -3.8 (+3.2) | 145.5 (-24.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -3.9 (+3.1) | 146.3 (-25.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MORE 61 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 MORE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MORE 59 – 47 UTM |
| Dec 20, 2024 | MORE 70 – 69 UTM |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MORE 84 – 78 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#280) | -8.2 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#235) | -0.24 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#266) | -0.78 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#274) | 0.491 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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