Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO -138 UPST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +5 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | CHSO -6.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -3.5 (+1.5) | 143.8 (+31.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -3.4 (+1.6) | 144.2 (+30.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -3.2 (+1.8) | 145.9 (+29.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -3.0 (+2.0) | 146.9 (+28.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UPST 100 – 94 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UPST 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UPST 79 – 69 CHSO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | CHSO 82 – 75 UPST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#300) | -9.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#317) | -0.32 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#316) | -1.01 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#322) | 0.474 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 60.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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