Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UPST +140 CHSO -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -2.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -2.8 (-4.2) | 153.4 (+3.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -2.7 (-4.3) | 151.2 (+5.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -2.9 (-4.1) | 151.8 (+5.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -2.6 (-4.4) | 152.4 (+4.6) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UPST 100 – 94 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UPST 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UPST 79 – 69 CHSO |
| Feb 22, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 UPST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CHSO 77 – 70 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UPST | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 6-10 |
| Home | 4-10 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.5 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#349) | -7.9 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#341) | -1.60 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#338) | -1.96 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#338) | 0.427 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UPST | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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