Betting Lines
| Spread | CHSO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO -270 UPST +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UPST +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -9.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -8.3 (-18.3) | 153.1 (-5.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -7.7 (-17.7) | 156.3 (-8.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -8.3 (-18.3) | 154.2 (-6.2) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -7.0 (-17.0) | 153.1 (-5.1) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UPST 100 – 94 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UPST 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | CHSO 82 – 75 UPST |
| Feb 22, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 UPST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CHSO 77 – 70 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 2-14 |
| Home | 7-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 3-14 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 85.5 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#285) | -13.3 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#264) | -2.74 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#277) | -3.16 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#273) | 0.384 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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