Betting Lines
| Spread | UPST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UPST -225 CHSO +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UPST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | UPST -7.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UPST -4.2 (-7.2) | 141.2 (-18.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UPST -4.9 (-7.9) | 140.1 (-17.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UPST -4.2 (-7.2) | 138.6 (-15.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UPST -4.5 (-7.5) | 139.7 (-16.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UPST 100 – 94 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2026 | UPST 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UPST 79 – 69 CHSO |
| Jan 29, 2025 | CHSO 82 – 75 UPST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CHSO 77 – 70 UPST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UPST | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#281) | -10.5 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#288) | -1.54 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#293) | -1.97 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#288) | 0.437 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UPST | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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